National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
NMFS proposes a regulation to implement the annual harvest guideline for Pacific mackerel in the exclusive economic zone (EEZ) off the Pacific coast. The Coastal Pelagic Species (CPS) Fishery Management Plan (FMP) and its implementing regulations require NMFS to set an annual harvest guideline for Pacific mackerel based on the formula in the FMP. The intended effect of this action is to propose allowable harvest levels for Pacific mackerel off the Pacific coast.
Comments must be received by July 26, 2002.
Send comments on the proposed rule to Rodney R. McInnis, Acting Administrator, Southwest Region, NMFS, 501 West Ocean Boulevard, Suite 4200, Long Beach, CA 90802. The report Stock Assessment of Pacific Mackerel with Recommendations for the 2002-2003 Management Season may be obtained at this same address.Start Further Info Start Printed Page 45953
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
James J. Morgan, Southwest Region, NMFS, (562) 980-4036.End Further Info End Preamble Start Supplemental Information
The FMP, which was implemented by publication of the final rule in the Federal Register on December 15, 1999 (64 FR 69888), divides management unit species into the categories of actively managed and monitored. Harvest guidelines of actively managed species (Pacific sardine and Pacific mackerel) are based on formulas applied to current biomass estimates. Biomass estimates are not calculated for species that are only monitored (jack mackerel, northern anchovy, and market squid).
At a public meeting each year, the biomass for each actively
managed species is reviewed by the Pacific Fishery Management Council's (Council) CPS Management Team (Team). The biomass, harvest guideline, and status of the fisheries are then reviewed at a public meeting of the Council's CPS Advisory Subpanel (Subpanel). This information is also reviewed by the Council's Scientific and Statistical Committee (SSC). The Council reviews reports from the Team, Subpanel, and SSC, and then, after providing time for public comment, makes its recommendation to NMFS. The annual harvest guideline and season structure is published by NMFS in the Federal Register as soon as practicable before the beginning of the appropriate fishing season. The Pacific mackerel season begins on July 1 of each year and ends on June 30 the following year.
The FMP relies on a framework procedure that includes public comment to announce the harvest guideline each year without publication of a proposed rule. However, to ensure compliance with the Administrative Procedure Act, a proposed rule is being published. Team, Subpanel, and SSC meetings as described above were held as in the past. The Team meeting took place at the Southwest Fisheries Science Center in La Jolla, California, on May 29, 2002 (67 FR 34434, May 14, 2002). The SSC and Subpanel meetings took place in conjunction with the June 17-21, 2002, Council meeting in Foster City, California.
A modified virtual population analysis stock assessment model is used to estimate the biomass of Pacific mackerel. The model employs both fishery dependent and fishery independent indices to estimate abundance. The biomass was calculated through the end of 2001, and then estimated for the fishing season that begins July 1, 2002, based on (1) the number of Pacific mackerel estimated to comprise each year class at the beginning of 2002, (2) modeled estimates of fishing mortality during 2001, (3) assumptions for natural and fishing mortality through the first half of 2002, and (4) estimates of age-specific growth. Based on this approach, the biomass for July 1, 2002, would be 77,516 metric tons (mt). Applying the formula in the FMP would result in a harvest guideline of 12,456 mt, which is lower than last year but similar to low harvest guidelines of recent years.
The formula in the FMP uses the following factors to
determine the harvest guideline:
1. The biomass of Pacific mackerel. For 2002, this estimate is 77,516 mt.
2. The cutoff. This is the biomass level below which no commercial fishery is allowed. The FMP established the cutoff level at 18,200 mt. The cutoff is subtracted from the biomass, leaving 59,316 mt.
3. The portion of the Pacific mackerel biomass that is in U.S. waters. This estimate is 70 percent, based on the historical average of larval distribution obtained from scientific cruises and the distribution of the resource obtained from logbooks of fish-spotters. Therefore, the harvestable biomass in U.S. waters is 70 percent of 59,316 mt, that is, 41,521 mt.
4. The harvest fraction. This is the percentage of the biomass above 18,200 mt that may be harvested. The FMP established the harvest fraction at 30 percent. The harvest fraction is multiplied by the harvestable biomass in U.S. waters (41,521 mt), which is 12,456 mt.
Information on the fishery and the stock assessment are found in the report Stock Assessment of Pacific Mackerel with Recommendations for the 2002-2003 Management Season, which may be obtained at the address above (see ADDRESSES).
Following recommendations of the fishing industry and Subpanel for the 2001/2002 fishing season, a directed fishery for Pacific mackerel of 6,000 mt was set beginning July 1, 2001, followed by an incidental allowance of 45 percent of Pacific mackerel in landings of any CPS. A 1-mt landing of mackerel per trip was also allowed if no other species were landed during a trip. A significant amount of the harvest guideline remained unused toward the end of the fishing season; therefore, the directed fishery was reopened on April 1, 2002 (67 FR 16322, April 5, 2002). NMFS implemented this approach last season in response to concerns about how a low harvest guideline for mackerel might interfere with the sardine fishery. Pacific mackerel is often caught with sardine; therefore, mackerel might have to be discarded, which would increase bycatch. Public comments are requested on how the fishery might be conducted for the 2002/2003 fishing season to achieve but not exceed the harvest guideline while minimizing impacts on the harvest of other CPS.
In view of the above, the following determinations have been made for the July 1, 2002, through June 30, 2003, fishing season. Public comment is sought on these determinations.
Based on the estimated biomass of 77,516 mt and the formula in the FMP, a harvest guideline of 12,456 would be calculated and would be in effect for the fishery beginning on July 1, 2002. This harvest guideline would be available for harvest for the fishing season beginning at 12:01 a.m. on July 1, 2002, and continue through June 30, 2003, unless the harvest guideline is attained and the fishery closed before June 30.
These proposed specifications are issued under the authority of, and NMFS has preliminarily determined that they are in accordance with, the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act, the FMP, and the regulations implementing the FMP at 50 CFR part 660, subpart I.
This proposed rule has been determined to be not significant for purpose of Executive Order 12866.
The Chief Counsel for Regulation of the Department of Commerce certified to the chief Counsel for Advocacy of the Small Business Administration that this proposed rule, if adopted, would not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities as follows:
The low harvest guideline for Pacific mackerel is not expected to have significant effect on the fleet because mackerel has not been a significant source of revenue for the fleet. The CPS fleet targets a variety of species depending on environmental and market conditions and can easily compensate for a low mackerel harvest.
Northern anchovy, Pacific sardine, Pacific mackerel, jack mackerel (finfish), and market squid are the target species of the fleet. Jack mackerel, northern anchovy, and market squid are monitored species under the FMP. However, the market squid fishery is actively managed by the State of California. Squid contributes a substantial portion of the total revenue to the CPS fleet in most years.
An average of 273 vessels landed CPS off the Pacific coast from 1996 through 2000. Only 65 of these vessels are authorized to fish in the limited entry fishery for finfish south of 39° N. lat. In the limited entry area, vessels without limited entry permits may land up to 5 metric tons per trip of finfish until the directed fishery is closed. An open access fishery exists north of 39° N. lat., which includes Oregon, Washington, and a Start Printed Page 45954portion of California north of San Francisco. All vessels are considered small businesses. The species harvested can exhibit wide variability in abundance from year to year; therefore, when one species is unavailable, revenue is typically derived from other CPS.
From 1996 through 2000, 25.2 percent of total ex-vessel revenue was derived from finfish, and 6.8 percent of that revenue resulted from landings of Pacific mackerel. On average, approximately 15 percent of the 273 vessels (41 vessels) depend on CPS finfish, that is, finfish accounts for the greatest share of a vessel's total ex-vessel revenue. There also are an average of 19 processors and buyers in California, Oregon, and Washington whose annual purchases of CPS finfish represent the largest share of their total annual expenditures.
Average revenue of the fleet for 1996 through 2000 was $31.4 million. Squid comprised almost 75 percent of that revenue, but during an El Nino event squid availability drops precipitously. In 1998, total revenue totaled only $8.3 million because of a low squid harvest. In that year, mackerel made up 30.8 percent of revenue.
There are indications of an approaching El Nino. If an El Nino occurs, there will be a significant drop in ex-vessel revenue in 2003 due to the unavailability of squid. Nevertheless, the FMP requires setting the Pacific mackerel harvest guideline based on the current biomass estimate to ensure protection of the resource and to ensure a fishery in subsequent years. There are ameliorating factors that currently exist that would reduce the impact that occurred in the 1998 fishery. Sardine landings increased from 32,553 mt in 1996 to 67,888 mt in 2000, the result of an increasing biomass and the development of new markets. Domestic harvest of sardine in 2001 was 78,583 mt with an ex-vessel revenue of more than $9 million. Similar levels are expected in 2002. Revenue from northern anchovy was only $245,000 in 1998, while revenue in 2001 was $1.4 million. In 2001, due to increased sardine and anchovy harvest, Pacific mackerel comprised less than 4 percent of ex-vessel revenue. If a low squid harvest occurs in 2003 resulting from an El Nino event, the most likely result is that Pacific mackerel will make up approximately 9 percent of ex-vessel revenue.
Hence, implementation of these specifications would not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. As a result, no regulatory flexibility analysis for this rule has been prepared.Start Signature
Dated: July 5, 2002.
Deputy Assistant Administrator for Regulatory Programs,National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 02-17463 Filed 7-10-02; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510-22-S